Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday, September 20, 1:00 PM. Raymond James Stadium, Tampa.
23
Final
19
Browns 23, Buccaneers 19
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Cleveland Browns
- QuestionableAaron AndersonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableDom JonesKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableJamari ThrashUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableMason GrahamKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTeven JenkinsBack - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTravis BellEye - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTyreak SappUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- QuestionableTyron HerringUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
Long-term absences (14)
- I.L.Alex WrightI.L. - Achilles
- I.L.Damarri MathisI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Dillon GabrielI.L. - Back
- I.L.Dylan SampsonI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Edefuan UlofoshioI.L. - Biceps
- ConcussionElgton JenkinsInactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
- I.L.Elijah ChatmanI.L. - Quadriceps
- PUP listJeremiah Owusu-KoramoahNeck - Physically Unable to Perform
- NFI listJoe RoyerPersonal - NFI-R for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- SidelinedJustin JeffersonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
- I.L.Kalia DavisI.L. - Quadriceps
- SidelinedNathaniel WatsonKnee - Out for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets. Expected Return - Week 7
- SidelinedTaylen GreenCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Pittsburgh
- KneeTylan WallaceInactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- QuestionableBenjamin MorrisonQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableChase LucasUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDamarion WilliamsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDennis HoustonGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDeshawn McKnightHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableJosiah TrotterKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKadarius CallowayUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKemon HallUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKo KieftElbow - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableMarcus BanksUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableSirVocea DennisAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableXavier WilliamsHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
Long-term absences (5)
- SidelinedAntoine Winfield Jr.Ribs - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 6
- SidelinedBaker MayfieldThumb - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 7
- I.L.Jalen McMillanI.L. - Knee - PCL
- I.L.Josh HayesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Mohamed KamaraI.L. - Knee
The two teams
| Browns | Buccaneers | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Home | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Away | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Points per game | 20.3 | 19 |
| Points allowed per game | 23.8 | 24 |
| Streak | Won 3 | Lost 4 |
| Division rank | 1st in the AFC North | 4th in the NFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record