Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots
Sunday, September 20, 1:00 PM. Gillette Stadium, Foxborough.
3
Final
20
Steelers 3, Patriots 20
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Pittsburgh Steelers
- QuestionableIsrael MukuamuUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableJacob SladeUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableJamel DeanAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableLorenzo ThompsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- QuestionableMontana LemoniousCraigLower Body - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
Long-term absences (17)
- UndisclosedAdam ThielenRetired
- I.L.Cole BurgessI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Daequan HardyI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Derrick HarmonI.L. - Foot
- I.L.DeShon ElliottI.L. - Undisclosed
- PUP listDonte KentUndisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedDrew AllarCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- SidelinedEli HeidenreichCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- SidelinedGabriel RubioCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- I.L.Gennings DunkerI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Jack DriscollI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedKevin Jobity Jr.Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- I.L.Logan LeeI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedMax HurlemanUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis. Expected Return - Week 6
- ToeRico DowdleInactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- UndisclosedRobert WoodsRetired
- SidelinedWill HowardCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
New England Patriots
Nobody on the report.
The two teams
| Steelers | Patriots | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Home | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Away | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Points per game | 19.3 | 16.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 21.8 | 19.3 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Won 1 |
| Division rank | 3rd in the AFC North | 2nd in the AFC East |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record