Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears
Sunday, September 20, 1:00 PM. Soldier Field, Chicago.
9
Final
3
Vikings 9, Bears 3
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Minnesota Vikings
- QuestionableBrett ThorsonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableCharles DemmingsHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableChristian DarrisawConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJaylon HutchingsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJeff OkudahConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJermar JeffersonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableJustin JeffersonAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableKejon OwensIllness - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableLuke WysongUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableMarcus AllenUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableMatt NelsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
- QuestionableTaki TaimaniUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
Long-term absences (10)
- I.L.Benjamin YurosekI.L. - Undisclosed
- UndisclosedC.J. HamRetired
- SidelinedDonovan JacksonKnee - Meniscus - Out for Week 5 at New Orleans
- I.L.Jamal AdamsI.L. - Quadriceps
- I.L.Jordan MasonI.L. - Thumb
- I.L.Josh OliverI.L. - Biceps
- I.L.Michael JurgensI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Nick SamacI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Tyler BattyI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Tyreek ChappellI.L. - Undisclosed
Chicago Bears
- QuestionableCam LewisHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableDontae ManningUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableGervarrius OwensUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableKenechukwu EziomumeUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableKyle MonangaiThumb - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableKyron HudsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableRicky StrombergUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- QuestionableTy SummersFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
Long-term absences (16)
- SidelinedAnthony Johnson Jr.Undisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Braxton JonesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Brittain BrownI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedCaleb WilliamsHamstring - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Coby BryantI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Dallis FlowersI.L. - Leg
- UndisclosedDrew DalmanRetired
- I.L.Hayden LargeI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jonathan GarvinI.L. - Undisclosed
- PUP listKyler GordonCalf - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nephi SewellI.L. - Concussion
- I.L.Nikola KalinicI.L. - Knee
- PUP listNoah SewellAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Ruben Hyppolite III.L. - Shoulder
- PUP listShemar TurnerKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Tony Fields III.L. - Undisclosed
The two teams
| Vikings | Bears | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| Home | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Away | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Points per game | 21.5 | 28 |
| Points allowed per game | 12.8 | 16.3 |
| Streak | Won 4 | Won 2 |
| Division rank | 1st in the NFC North | 2nd in the NFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record