Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, September 20, 1:00 PM. Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.
34
Final
3
Panthers 34, Falcons 3
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Carolina Panthers
- QuestionableAinias SmithUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableAmare BarnoKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableCam'Ron JacksonKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableClaudin CherelusShoulder - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableDamien LewisElbow - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableDan ChisenaUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJaelan PhillipsHamstring - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJalen CokerQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableJosey JewellConcussion - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableMonroe FreelingKnee - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableRyan HayesUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- QuestionableTyler MabryUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 6 at Philadelphia
Long-term absences (14)
- I.L.Bam MartinScottI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Brady ChristensenI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Chris Brazzell III.L. - Knee
- PUP listIkem EkwonuKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 9
- I.L.Jaycee HornI.L. - Quadriceps
- I.L.Jonathon BrooksI.L. - Abdomen
- PersonalLaBryan RayRetired
- I.L.Mike JacksonI.L. - Groin
- I.L.Nic CarawayI.L. - Knee - ACL
- NFI listTaylor MotonIllness - NFI-R for Week 6 at Philadelphia
- PUP listTershawn WhartonNeck - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Trevor EtienneI.L. - Ankle
- PersonalWill GrierRetired
- I.L.Xavier LegetteI.L. - Knee
Atlanta Falcons
- QuestionableJake MatthewsGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableJamal AgnewUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableKevin KingUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableMalik VerdonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableTroy AndersenKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- QuestionableTyrone Wheatley Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
Long-term absences (15)
- NFI listAnterio ThompsonUndisclosed - NFI-R for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- I.L.Beaux CollinsI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Cameron WilliamsI.L. - Ankle
- SidelinedCooper RushCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- PUP listDeAngelo MaloneUndisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform
- SidelinedEthan OnianwaCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedJack StrandCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.Jalon WalkerI.L. - Knee - ACL
- SidelinedJared IveyCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.JD BertrandI.L. - Undisclosed
- LegKaleb McGaryRetired
- SidelinedMalcom DeWalt IVCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedRobert LongerbeamCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- PUP listStorm NortonFoot - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Trey SermonI.L. - Undisclosed
The two teams
| Panthers | Falcons | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Home | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Away | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Points per game | 30.3 | 24 |
| Points allowed per game | 27.3 | 23 |
| Streak | Won 1 | Won 2 |
| Division rank | 1st in the NFC South | 2nd in the NFC South |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record