Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, September 13, 4:25 PM. Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia.
22
Final
24
Commanders 22, Eagles 24
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Washington Commanders
- QuestionableCharles OmenihuGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableCurtis JacobsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableJacoby JonesUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableJayden DanielsElbow - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableJeremy ReavesFinger - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableLogan ThomasKnee
- QuestionableMarcus MariotaKnee - MCL - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableMarvin Jones Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableNick CrossIllness - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableQuentin MooreUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableRachaad WhiteShoulder - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableRiver CracraftUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableTerry McLaurinHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableTyler CooperUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- QuestionableTyler OwensHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
Long-term absences (10)
- PersonalAhkello WitherspoonRetired
- SidelinedChase YoungKnee
- PUP listDeatrich Wise Jr.Quadriceps - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedJaylin LaneAnkle - Out for Week 5 vs. N.Y. Giants
- I.L.Jeremy McNicholsI.L. - Quadriceps
- I.L.Jordan MageeI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Laremy TunsilI.L. - Triceps
- I.L.Leo ChenalI.L. - Neck
- PersonalNick BelloreRetired
- I.L.Trey AmosI.L. - Ankle
Philadelphia Eagles
- QuestionableCam JurgensConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableDallas GoedertKnee - MCL - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableDanny GrayUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableDeVonta SmithHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableElijah MitchellUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableFred JohnsonKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableJonathan GreenardAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableLane JohnsonPersonal - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableMarcus EppsGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableQuinyon MitchellKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableSaquon BarkleyHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableTariq Castro-FieldsHeel - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
- QuestionableZack BaunConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at Jacksonville
Long-term absences (8)
- SidelinedChance CampbellUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Jacksonville. Expected Return - Week 8
- I.L.Eli StowersI.L. - Hamstring
- I.L.Grant CalcaterraI.L. - Back
- I.L.Jakorian BennettI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Johnny WilsonI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Landon DickersonI.L. - Knee
- SidelinedTank BigsbyAbdomen - Out for Week 5 at Jacksonville. Expected Return - Week 9
- NFI listTucker LargeUndisclosed - NFI-R for Week 5 at Jacksonville
The two teams
| Commanders | Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Home | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Away | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 22 | 18.8 |
| Points allowed per game | 30.5 | 23.3 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Lost 2 |
| Division rank | 4th in the NFC East | 2nd in the NFC East |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record