All Week 1 games

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings

Sunday, September 13, 4:25 PM. U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis.

22
Final
39

Packers 22, Vikings 39

The model's pick

The pick is published during game week.

Starting quarterbacks

No starting quarterback data.

Injury report

Green Bay Packers

  • QuestionableAaron BanksToe - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
  • QuestionableAnthony CampbellAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
  • QuestionableBrandon CisseNeck - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
  • QuestionableIsaiah DunnUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
  • QuestionableJacob MonkQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
  • QuestionableLuke LacheyFoot - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
  • QuestionableMarlon Jones Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
  • QuestionablePierre Strong Jr.Hamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
  • QuestionableRJ MarylandHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
  • QuestionableTrey Dean IIIUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Chicago
Long-term absences (10)
  • I.L.Collin OliverI.L. - Achilles
  • SidelinedEdgerrin CooperAchilles - Out for Week 5 vs. Chicago
  • I.L.Jayden ReedI.L. - Neck
  • PUP listJordon RileyAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
  • PUP listLuke MusgraveNeck - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
  • PUP listMicah ParsonsKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
  • I.L.Savion WilliamsI.L. - Ankle
  • I.L.Thomas YassminI.L. - Undisclosed
  • I.L.Warren BrinsonI.L. - Calf
  • I.L.Zach TomI.L. - Knee

Minnesota Vikings

  • QuestionableBrett ThorsonHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableCharles DemmingsHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableChristian DarrisawConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableJaylon HutchingsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableJeff OkudahConcussion - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableJermar JeffersonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableJustin JeffersonAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableKejon OwensIllness - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableLuke WysongUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableMarcus AllenUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableMatt NelsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • QuestionableTaki TaimaniUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at New Orleans
Long-term absences (10)
  • I.L.Benjamin YurosekI.L. - Undisclosed
  • UndisclosedC.J. HamRetired
  • SidelinedDonovan JacksonKnee - Meniscus - Out for Week 5 at New Orleans
  • I.L.Jamal AdamsI.L. - Quadriceps
  • I.L.Jordan MasonI.L. - Thumb
  • I.L.Josh OliverI.L. - Biceps
  • I.L.Michael JurgensI.L. - Undisclosed
  • I.L.Nick SamacI.L. - Knee
  • I.L.Tyler BattyI.L. - Knee - ACL
  • I.L.Tyreek ChappellI.L. - Undisclosed

The two teams

PackersVikings
Record2-24-0
Home0-12-0
Away2-12-0
Points per game18.321.5
Points allowed per game26.312.8
StreakWon 1Won 4
Division rank4th in the NFC North1st in the NFC North

How the pick is made

The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.

Method and track record