Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, September 13, 1:00 PM. Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati.
27
Final
33
Buccaneers 27, Bengals 33
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- QuestionableBenjamin MorrisonQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableChase LucasUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDamarion WilliamsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDennis HoustonGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableDeshawn McKnightHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableJosiah TrotterKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKadarius CallowayUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKemon HallUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableKo KieftElbow - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableMarcus BanksUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableSirVocea DennisAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
- QuestionableXavier WilliamsHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Dallas
Long-term absences (5)
- SidelinedAntoine Winfield Jr.Ribs - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 6
- SidelinedBaker MayfieldThumb - Out for Week 5 at Dallas. Expected Return - Week 7
- I.L.Jalen McMillanI.L. - Knee - PCL
- I.L.Josh HayesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Mohamed KamaraI.L. - Knee
Cincinnati Bengals
- QuestionableBJ HillAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
- QuestionableBryan CookAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
- QuestionableColbie YoungKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
- QuestionableJaxson KirklandUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
- QuestionableKyle DuggerQuadriceps - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
- QuestionableSwayze BozemanGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
- QuestionableTee HigginsGroin - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
- QuestionableZack MossNeck - Questionable for Week 5 at Miami
Long-term absences (3)
- I.L.Andrei IosivasI.L. - Thumb
- I.L.Brian Parker III.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jalen DavisI.L. - Hamstring
The two teams
| Buccaneers | Bengals | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Home | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Away | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 19 | 24.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 24 | 21.3 |
| Streak | Lost 4 | Lost 2 |
| Division rank | 4th in the NFC South | 4th in the AFC North |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record