New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks
Wednesday, September 9, 8:20 PM. Lumen Field, Seattle.
10
Final
13
Patriots 10, Seahawks 13
The model's pick
The pick is published during game week.
Starting quarterbacks
No starting quarterback data.
Injury report
New England Patriots
Nobody on the report.
Seattle Seahawks
- QuestionableAaron SmithUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableChazz SurrattCalf - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableHarrison BryantUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableJohnathan HankinsBack - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableJoseph VaughnUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableLeonard WilliamsAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionablePower EcholsUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableShane LemieuxUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableShemar Jean-CharlesUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableTy OkadaHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
- QuestionableTyrone BrodenUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. San Francisco
Long-term absences (8)
- I.L.Anthony BradfordI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Bud ClarkI.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Jadarian PriceI.L. - Chest
- I.L.Jake BoboI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Mason RichmanI.L. - Leg
- I.L.Robbie OuztsI.L. - Neck
- PersonalTerrion ArnoldCommissioner's exempt list for Week 5 vs. San Francisco. Expected Return - Week 6
- PUP listZach CharbonnetKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6
The two teams
| Patriots | Seahawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Home | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Away | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 16.3 | 26.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 19.3 | 18.3 |
| Streak | Won 1 | Won 1 |
| Division rank | 2nd in the AFC East | 2nd in the NFC West |
How the pick is made
The model starts from each team's Elo rating and adds home-field advantage, rest and the status of the starting quarterback on the injury report. The difference gives the win probability and the projected score; the pick against the spread compares that margin with the market line.
Method and track record