Week 5 picks
2026 season. 15 games, Thursday, Oct 8 to Monday, Oct 12.
Picks published Tuesday, October 6 and updated Sunday, October 11.
Winners
8-6 57%
Against the spread
8-6-1 57%
Scorers
17 of 30
11.2 expected.
- Thu 8FinalBuccaneersCowboysProjected score: Buccaneers 22, Cowboys 26. Score: Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 16.WinnerCowboys 66%
Miss SpreadCowboys −2Miss Most likely scorerBucky Irving (RB): 38%, scoredJavonte Williams (RB): 48%, scored - Sun 11FinalEaglesJaguarsProjected score: Eagles 18, Jaguars 24. Score: Eagles 17, Jaguars 19.WinnerJaguars 69%
Hit SpreadJaguars −1Hit Most likely scorerDallas Goedert (TE): 24%, did not scoreParker Washington (WR): 28%, scored - Sun 11FinalTexansTitansProjected score: Texans 21, Titans 17. Score: Texans 26, Titans 3.WinnerTexans 64%
Hit SpreadTitans +7Miss Most likely scorerNico Collins (WR): 34%, did not scoreTony Pollard (RB): 25%, did not score - Sun 11FinalBengalsDolphinsProjected score: Bengals 23, Dolphins 20. Score: Bengals 31, Dolphins 24.WinnerBengals 59%
Hit SpreadDolphins +7Push Most likely scorerChase Brown (RB): 48%, did not scoreOllie Gordon II (RB): 22%, scored - Sun 11FinalRaidersPatriotsProjected score: Raiders 20, Patriots 26. Score: Raiders 17, Patriots 45.WinnerPatriots 70%
Hit SpreadPatriots 0Hit Most likely scorerAshton Jeanty (RB): 45%, did not scoreRhamondre Stevenson (RB): 34%, scored - Sun 11FinalVikingsSaintsProjected score: Vikings 23, Saints 18. Score: Vikings 23, Saints 13.WinnerVikings 68%
Hit SpreadVikings −5Hit Most likely scorerAaron Jones (RB): 42%, scoredChris Olave (WR): 26%, did not score - Sun 11FinalBrownsJetsProjected score: Browns 20, Jets 19. Score: Browns 12, Jets 17.WinnerBrowns 55%
Miss SpreadBrowns −0.5Miss Most likely scorerQuinshon Judkins (RB): 35%, did not scoreGarrett Wilson (WR): 30%, scored - Sun 11FinalColtsSteelersProjected score: Colts 20, Steelers 23. Score: Colts 22, Steelers 34.WinnerSteelers 59%
Hit SpreadSteelers +3Hit Most likely scorerJonathan Taylor (RB): 51%, did not scoreJaylen Warren (RB): 33%, scored - Sun 11FinalOvertimeGiantsCommandersProjected score: Giants 22, Commanders 21. Score: Giants 27, Commanders 27.WinnerGiants 51%
SpreadCommanders +4 Hit Most likely scorerCam Skattebo (RB): 36%, did not scoreTerry McLaurin (WR): 23%, did not score - Sun 11FinalBearsPackersProjected score: Bears 24, Packers 22. Score: Bears 7, Packers 31.WinnerBears 57%
Miss SpreadPackers +5.5Hit Most likely scorerD'Andre Swift (RB): 37%, scoredChristian Watson (WR): 28%, scored - Sun 11FinalBroncosChargersProjected score: Broncos 23, Chargers 19. Score: Broncos 23, Chargers 17.WinnerBroncos 62%
Hit SpreadChargers +3.5Miss Most likely scorerRJ Harvey (RB): 33%, did not scoreOmarion Hampton (RB): 31%, did not score - Sun 11FinalLionsCardinalsProjected score: Lions 28, Cardinals 26. Score: Lions 45, Cardinals 21.WinnerLions 58%
Hit SpreadCardinals +5.5Miss Most likely scorerJahmyr Gibbs (RB): 65%, scoredTrey McBride (TE): 38%, scored - Sun 11Final49ersSeahawksProjected score: 49ers 22, Seahawks 25. Score: 49ers 32, Seahawks 29.WinnerSeahawks 60%
Miss SpreadSeahawks +6Hit Most likely scorerChristian McCaffrey (RB): 51%, scoredJaxon Smith-Njigba (WR): 38%, scored - Sun 11FinalOvertimeRavensFalconsProjected score: Ravens 20, Falcons 23. Score: Ravens 30, Falcons 23.WinnerFalcons 62%
Miss SpreadFalcons +6Miss Most likely scorerDerrick Henry (RB): 48%, scoredBijan Robinson (RB): 41%, did not score - Mon 12FinalOvertimeBillsRamsProjected score: Bills 27, Rams 28. Score: Bills 37, Rams 34.WinnerRams 52%
Miss SpreadRams +6Hit Most likely scorerJames Cook (RB): 49%, scoredKyren Williams (RB): 46%, scored
- Scorer: the player on each team most likely to score at least one touchdown (the first one in “Who scores?” on the game page).
- For 14 games, the scorer was computed afterwards, with the data available before kickoff.
- Times in Eastern Time.
Picks are NFL Legion's estimate, not betting advice.