Atlanta Falcons vs. Cleveland Browns
domingo 13 de diciembre a las 19:00. Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland.
Falcons
19:00
Browns
El pick del modelo
El pick se publica en la semana del partido.
Claves
Las claves se publican el jueves de la semana del partido.
Quarterbacks titulares
Sin datos del quarterback titular.
Parte de lesiones
Atlanta Falcons
- En dudaJake MatthewsGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaJamal AgnewUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaKevin KingUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaMalik VerdonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaTroy AndersenKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaTyrone Wheatley Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
Bajas de larga duración (15)
- Lista NFIAnterio ThompsonUndisclosed - NFI-R for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- I.L.Beaux CollinsI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Cameron WilliamsI.L. - Ankle
- SidelinedCooper RushCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- Lista PUPDeAngelo MaloneUndisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform
- SidelinedEthan OnianwaCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedJack StrandCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.Jalon WalkerI.L. - Knee - ACL
- SidelinedJared IveyCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.JD BertrandI.L. - Undisclosed
- LegKaleb McGaryRetired
- SidelinedMalcom DeWalt IVCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedRobert LongerbeamCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- Lista PUPStorm NortonFoot - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Trey SermonI.L. - Undisclosed
Cleveland Browns
- En dudaAaron AndersonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- En dudaDom JonesKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- En dudaJamari ThrashUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- En dudaMason GrahamKnee - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- En dudaTeven JenkinsBack - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- En dudaTravis BellEye - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- En dudaTyreak SappUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- En dudaTyron HerringUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
Bajas de larga duración (14)
- I.L.Alex WrightI.L. - Achilles
- I.L.Damarri MathisI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Dillon GabrielI.L. - Back
- I.L.Dylan SampsonI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Edefuan UlofoshioI.L. - Biceps
- ConcussionElgton JenkinsInactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
- I.L.Elijah ChatmanI.L. - Quadriceps
- Lista PUPJeremiah Owusu-KoramoahNeck - Physically Unable to Perform
- Lista NFIJoe RoyerPersonal - NFI-R for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets
- SidelinedJustin JeffersonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
- I.L.Kalia DavisI.L. - Quadriceps
- SidelinedNathaniel WatsonKnee - Out for Week 5 at N.Y. Jets. Expected Return - Week 7
- SidelinedTaylen GreenCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Pittsburgh
- KneeTylan WallaceInactive for Week 4 vs Pittsburgh
Los dos equipos
| Falcons | Browns | |
|---|---|---|
| Balance | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| En casa | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Fuera | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Puntos por partido | 24 | 20,3 |
| Puntos encajados por partido | 23 | 23,8 |
| Racha | 2 victorias | 3 victorias |
| Puesto en la división | 2.º en la NFC Sur | 1.º en la AFC Norte |
Cómo se calcula el pick
El modelo parte de la puntuación Elo de cada equipo y suma la ventaja de jugar en casa, el descanso y el estado del quarterback titular según el parte de lesiones. De la diferencia sale la probabilidad de victoria y el marcador estimado; el pick contra el spread compara esa diferencia con la línea del mercado.
El método y el historial de aciertos