Chicago Bears vs. Atlanta Falcons
domingo 18 de octubre a las 19:00. Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.
Bears
19:00
Falcons
El pick del modelo
El pick se publica en la semana del partido.
Claves
Las claves se publican el jueves de la semana del partido.
Quarterbacks titulares
Sin datos del quarterback titular.
Parte de lesiones
Chicago Bears
- En dudaCam LewisHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaDontae ManningUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaGervarrius OwensUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaKenechukwu EziomumeUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaKyle MonangaiThumb - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaKyron HudsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaRicky StrombergUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaTy SummersFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
Bajas de larga duración (16)
- SidelinedAnthony Johnson Jr.Undisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Braxton JonesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Brittain BrownI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedCaleb WilliamsHamstring - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Coby BryantI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Dallis FlowersI.L. - Leg
- UndisclosedDrew DalmanRetired
- I.L.Hayden LargeI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jonathan GarvinI.L. - Undisclosed
- Lista PUPKyler GordonCalf - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nephi SewellI.L. - Concussion
- I.L.Nikola KalinicI.L. - Knee
- Lista PUPNoah SewellAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Ruben Hyppolite III.L. - Shoulder
- Lista PUPShemar TurnerKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Tony Fields III.L. - Undisclosed
Atlanta Falcons
- En dudaJake MatthewsGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaJamal AgnewUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaKevin KingUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaMalik VerdonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaTroy AndersenKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaTyrone Wheatley Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
Bajas de larga duración (15)
- Lista NFIAnterio ThompsonUndisclosed - NFI-R for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- I.L.Beaux CollinsI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Cameron WilliamsI.L. - Ankle
- SidelinedCooper RushCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- Lista PUPDeAngelo MaloneUndisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform
- SidelinedEthan OnianwaCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedJack StrandCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.Jalon WalkerI.L. - Knee - ACL
- SidelinedJared IveyCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.JD BertrandI.L. - Undisclosed
- LegKaleb McGaryRetired
- SidelinedMalcom DeWalt IVCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedRobert LongerbeamCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- Lista PUPStorm NortonFoot - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Trey SermonI.L. - Undisclosed
Los dos equipos
| Bears | Falcons | |
|---|---|---|
| Balance | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| En casa | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Fuera | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Puntos por partido | 28 | 24 |
| Puntos encajados por partido | 16,3 | 23 |
| Racha | 2 victorias | 2 victorias |
| Puesto en la división | 2.º en la NFC Norte | 2.º en la NFC Sur |
Cómo se calcula el pick
El modelo parte de la puntuación Elo de cada equipo y suma la ventaja de jugar en casa, el descanso y el estado del quarterback titular según el parte de lesiones. De la diferencia sale la probabilidad de victoria y el marcador estimado; el pick contra el spread compara esa diferencia con la línea del mercado.
El método y el historial de aciertos