Atlanta Falcons vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
domingo 13 de septiembre a las 19:00. Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh.
13
Final
20
Falcons 13, Steelers 20
El pick del modelo
El pick se publica en la semana del partido.
Quarterbacks titulares
Sin datos del quarterback titular.
Parte de lesiones
Atlanta Falcons
- En dudaJake MatthewsGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaJamal AgnewUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaKevin KingUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaMalik VerdonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaTroy AndersenKnee - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- En dudaTyrone Wheatley Jr.Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
Bajas de larga duración (15)
- Lista NFIAnterio ThompsonUndisclosed - NFI-R for Week 5 vs. Baltimore
- I.L.Beaux CollinsI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Cameron WilliamsI.L. - Ankle
- SidelinedCooper RushCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- Lista PUPDeAngelo MaloneUndisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform
- SidelinedEthan OnianwaCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedJack StrandCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.Jalon WalkerI.L. - Knee - ACL
- SidelinedJared IveyCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- I.L.JD BertrandI.L. - Undisclosed
- LegKaleb McGaryRetired
- SidelinedMalcom DeWalt IVCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- SidelinedRobert LongerbeamCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at New Orleans
- Lista PUPStorm NortonFoot - Physically Unable to Perform
- I.L.Trey SermonI.L. - Undisclosed
Pittsburgh Steelers
- En dudaIsrael MukuamuUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- En dudaJacob SladeUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- En dudaJamel DeanAnkle - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- En dudaLorenzo ThompsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
- En dudaMontana LemoniousCraigLower Body - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis
Bajas de larga duración (17)
- UndisclosedAdam ThielenRetired
- I.L.Cole BurgessI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Daequan HardyI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Derrick HarmonI.L. - Foot
- I.L.DeShon ElliottI.L. - Undisclosed
- Lista PUPDonte KentUndisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedDrew AllarCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- SidelinedEli HeidenreichCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- SidelinedGabriel RubioCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- I.L.Gennings DunkerI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Jack DriscollI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedKevin Jobity Jr.Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- I.L.Logan LeeI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedMax HurlemanUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 vs. Indianapolis. Expected Return - Week 6
- ToeRico DowdleInactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
- UndisclosedRobert WoodsRetired
- SidelinedWill HowardCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 at Cleveland
Los dos equipos
| Falcons | Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| Balance | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| En casa | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Fuera | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Puntos por partido | 24 | 19,3 |
| Puntos encajados por partido | 23 | 21,8 |
| Racha | 2 victorias | 1 derrota |
| Puesto en la división | 2.º en la NFC Sur | 3.º en la AFC Norte |
Cómo se calcula el pick
El modelo parte de la puntuación Elo de cada equipo y suma la ventaja de jugar en casa, el descanso y el estado del quarterback titular según el parte de lesiones. De la diferencia sale la probabilidad de victoria y el marcador estimado; el pick contra el spread compara esa diferencia con la línea del mercado.
El método y el historial de aciertos