Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears
domingo 3 de enero a las 22:25. Soldier Field, Chicago.
Lions
22:25
Bears
El pick del modelo
El pick se publica en la semana del partido.
Claves
Las claves se publican el jueves de la semana del partido.
Quarterbacks titulares
Sin datos del quarterback titular.
Parte de lesiones
Detroit Lions
- En dudaAidan KeanaainaUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaBen BartchFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaCedrick Wilson Jr.Knee - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaDicaprio BootleUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaEmmanuel MoseleyIllness - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaJamarco JonesAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaKye RobichauxFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaLoren StricklandUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaLuke DealUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaMichael NieseLeg - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaRaheem BlackshearUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaRock Ya-SinHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaZach CunninghamHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
Bajas de larga duración (12)
- I.L.Avonte MaddoxI.L. - Foot
- Lista PUPBrian BranchAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Cade MaysI.L. - Wrist
- I.L.Damone ClarkI.L. - Undisclosed
- Lista NFIGiovanni ManuKnee - NFI-R for Week 5 at Arizona
- I.L.Isiah PachecoI.L. - Back
- I.L.Kendrick LawI.L. - Knee - ACL
- Lista PUPKerby JosephKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedMason MillerUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Arizona. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Payton TurnerI.L. - Back
- UndisclosedTeddy BridgewaterRetired
- I.L.Thomas HarperI.L. - Ankle
Chicago Bears
- En dudaCam LewisHip - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaDontae ManningUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaGervarrius OwensUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaKenechukwu EziomumeUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaKyle MonangaiThumb - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaKyron HudsonUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaRicky StrombergUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
- En dudaTy SummersFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Green Bay
Bajas de larga duración (16)
- SidelinedAnthony Johnson Jr.Undisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Braxton JonesI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Brittain BrownI.L. - Undisclosed
- SidelinedCaleb WilliamsHamstring - Out for Week 5 at Green Bay. Expected Return - Week 6
- I.L.Coby BryantI.L. - Knee
- I.L.Dallis FlowersI.L. - Leg
- UndisclosedDrew DalmanRetired
- I.L.Hayden LargeI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jonathan GarvinI.L. - Undisclosed
- Lista PUPKyler GordonCalf - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Nephi SewellI.L. - Concussion
- I.L.Nikola KalinicI.L. - Knee
- Lista PUPNoah SewellAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Ruben Hyppolite III.L. - Shoulder
- Lista PUPShemar TurnerKnee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Tony Fields III.L. - Undisclosed
Los dos equipos
| Lions | Bears | |
|---|---|---|
| Balance | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| En casa | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Fuera | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Puntos por partido | 29,8 | 28 |
| Puntos encajados por partido | 31,8 | 16,3 |
| Racha | 1 derrota | 2 victorias |
| Puesto en la división | 3.º en la NFC Norte | 2.º en la NFC Norte |
Cómo se calcula el pick
El modelo parte de la puntuación Elo de cada equipo y suma la ventaja de jugar en casa, el descanso y el estado del quarterback titular según el parte de lesiones. De la diferencia sale la probabilidad de victoria y el marcador estimado; el pick contra el spread compara esa diferencia con la línea del mercado.
El método y el historial de aciertos