New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions
domingo 13 de septiembre a las 19:00. Ford Field, Detroit.
30
Final en la prórroga
31
Saints 30, Lions 31
El pick del modelo
El pick se publica en la semana del partido.
Quarterbacks titulares
Sin datos del quarterback titular.
Parte de lesiones
New Orleans Saints
- En dudaBarry WesleyUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- En dudaDalys BeanumUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- En dudaDamien AlfordUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- En dudaDavon GodchauxGroin - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
- En dudaKeeshawn SilverUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 vs. Minnesota
Bajas de larga duración (20)
- KneeAnfernee JenningsInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Bryan BreseeI.L. - Knee - ACL
- AnkleCarl GrandersonInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- SidelinedChristen MillerCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- SidelinedDecamerion RichardsonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- UndisclosedDerek CarrRetired
- I.L.Dillon RadunzI.L. - Knee - ACL
- I.L.Jaylan FordI.L. - Undisclosed
- I.L.Jordyn TysonI.L. - Hamstring
- CalfKaden EllissInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Kelvin Banks Jr.I.L. - Ankle
- I.L.Lorenzo StylesI.L. - Calf
- Lista PUPMason TiptonLeg - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Moliki MatavaoI.L. - Knee
- Lista PUPNick SaldiveriKnee - Physically Unable to Perform
- AbdomenNoah FantInactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Rejzohn WrightI.L. - Hip
- I.L.Ty ChandlerI.L. - Knee
- SidelinedZach WilsonCoach's Decision - Inactive for Week 4 vs. Atlanta
- I.L.Zach WoodI.L. - Calf
Detroit Lions
- En dudaAidan KeanaainaUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaBen BartchFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaCedrick Wilson Jr.Knee - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaDicaprio BootleUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaEmmanuel MoseleyIllness - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaJamarco JonesAchilles - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaKye RobichauxFoot - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaLoren StricklandUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaLuke DealUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaMichael NieseLeg - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaRaheem BlackshearUndisclosed - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaRock Ya-SinHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
- En dudaZach CunninghamHamstring - Questionable for Week 5 at Arizona
Bajas de larga duración (12)
- I.L.Avonte MaddoxI.L. - Foot
- Lista PUPBrian BranchAchilles - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Cade MaysI.L. - Wrist
- I.L.Damone ClarkI.L. - Undisclosed
- Lista NFIGiovanni ManuKnee - NFI-R for Week 5 at Arizona
- I.L.Isiah PachecoI.L. - Back
- I.L.Kendrick LawI.L. - Knee - ACL
- Lista PUPKerby JosephKnee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5
- SidelinedMason MillerUndisclosed - Out for Week 5 at Arizona. Expected Return - Week 5
- I.L.Payton TurnerI.L. - Back
- UndisclosedTeddy BridgewaterRetired
- I.L.Thomas HarperI.L. - Ankle
Los dos equipos
| Saints | Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Balance | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| En casa | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Fuera | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Puntos por partido | 26,3 | 29,8 |
| Puntos encajados por partido | 32 | 31,8 |
| Racha | 2 derrotas | 1 derrota |
| Puesto en la división | 3.º en la NFC Sur | 3.º en la NFC Norte |
Cómo se calcula el pick
El modelo parte de la puntuación Elo de cada equipo y suma la ventaja de jugar en casa, el descanso y el estado del quarterback titular según el parte de lesiones. De la diferencia sale la probabilidad de victoria y el marcador estimado; el pick contra el spread compara esa diferencia con la línea del mercado.
El método y el historial de aciertos